The difficult birth of the new Syria

Alghad - 17/03
Syria has turned into a field of various types of difficulties and challenges, and even the confrontations that threaten its unity and stability. After the momentum of the confessions that the new leadership enjoyed, the new ruling found itself in a cycle of conflicts, as it entered into a bloody confrontation in the coast with the followers of the previous regime, which reflected Iran's success in dragging the new rule to the complexities of sectarian conflict instead of direct confrontation, in order to introduce Syria in the new manner Revenge, thus proving that the new government fails to control security without returning to the cycle of violence again. Meanwhile, the differences and tensions with the Druze were floating on the surface, where some of them saw in the new ruling a threat to their interests, which prompted some of their elders to seek help in Israel, which did not delay in exploiting the opportunity to try to plant more strife and division, but rather that it occupied lands in southern Syria, wet the atmosphere slightly signing the agreement with Qasd, which, despite its security nature, can be formed. A starting point for recognition of the Kurds as a Syrian component with its cultural properties, but within the framework of the Syrian state, and this depends on the expansion of the agreement to include the Kurdish political and social components, and if this is achieved, it will be a qualitative shift in order to preserve the unity of the Syrian lands, while the constitutional declaration that was produced in the National Dialogue Conference is still a place of tension and attraction between the various parties, as the following days have proven to announce that it does not constitute a meeting point for all Syrians, All of this raises the most important question: Is Syria on the outskirts of stability, or is it going towards more chaos and instability? The dilemma of the Syrian conflict is that it is not only exclusive to the local parties, but also reflects the intervention of many external parties, most notably the United States, Russia, Turkey, Iran, Israel, and the Arab countries, and each of these has its tools on the ground and its own vision of what should be Syria, and that each party has its own agenda that serve its interests, these agendas and interests may intersect here or there, but the outcome of its differences is what will be in the future Syria, and this depends on the ability of the new administration to deal with each party, and try to either agree with it or at least neutralize it. America, for example, seeks to cool and calm the region, and therefore it is more inclined to stability and unity of Syria and it is radically different with Israel in this, so it encouraged the agreement between SDF and Damascus as a starting point for subsequent agreements, and this was confirmed by US Assistant Secretary of State David Shenker when he said that Syria is not heading towards a federal system, but towards a unified central state, but Russia, so that its goal is to keep its military bases in the coast, This appeals to Israel, which seeks to balance the Turkish presence, while Turkey puts the obsession of the Kurds and refugees at the height of its interests. In contrast, Iran is trying to prove that the new rule is only a group of terrorists, and it agrees with this with Israel, where both are trying to invest and feed minorities for its benefit. All of these data places Syria in front of three possible scenarios: The first scenario is unity and stability, if the interim government succeeds in imposing its control over the entire country and entering into the stage of political and economic recovery. The second scenario, chaos continuing, which is a possible scenario if the confrontations between the interim government and the remnants of the Assad regime continue, the tensions escalated with the Druze, and the agreement failed with Qasd. The third scenario, the Acting Civil War, which is the most catastrophic scenario, as it may lead the country into years of confrontations, which may lead to its division and
Syria has turned into a field of various types of difficulties and challenges, and even the confrontations that threaten its unity and stability. After the momentum of the confessions that the new leadership enjoyed, the new ruling found itself in a cycle of conflicts, as it entered into a bloody confrontation in the coast with the followers of the previous regime, which reflected Iran's success in drag...
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